- BJP emerging as the largest party in ABP C-Voter survey
- Vote share of Congress and BSP decreased in December compared to November
- Samajwadi Party increased by two percent votes, no effect on seats
- Even after the end of the farmers’ movement, the BJP does not see any benefit.
With the date of Uttar Pradesh assembly elections 2022 approaching, the debate has intensified as to whose government will be formed next time. In such a situation, pre-poll survey reports on TV channels create a stir. How much the claims and promises made in the electoral field affect the mind of the public, it is decided by the voters during the voting. But, what the public is thinking, it is clear from the election surveys.
The survey done by ABP C-Voter is going to increase the political stir in Uttar Pradesh. Actually, the results of this survey seem to be making the competition thorny to a great extent. In this survey report, which came after the announcement of the end of the peasant movement, an attempt has been made to present the political picture of Purvanchal to a great extent. This time in Purvanchal, the competition seems to be two-way. Political parties may differ in this survey report regarding the UP elections, but if there is an attempt to draw a blueprint, then the contest seems to be between the Bharatiya Janata Party and the Samajwadi Party.
Danger Signs for BSP and Congress
If you look carefully at the survey of ABP C-Voter, then it is like a danger signal for Bahujan Samaj Party and Congress. The vote bank of these two parties has seen a decline in the last one month. Actually, BSP supremo Mayawati has not yet started her rallies regarding the assembly elections. But, Congress General Secretary and UP in-charge Priyanka Gandhi is continuously addressing election rallies. She is trying to woo women in the electoral fray with the slogan ‘Ladki hoon, lad sakte hoon’, but C-Voter’s survey has estimated the shortfall in votes for the Congress.
In the survey of ABP C-Voter that came in late November, BSP was seen getting 14 per cent votes. At the same time, the Congress was seen losing 8 percent of the vote. The survey on Saturday showed a one per cent decline in the votes polled by the BSP and the Congress. This time BSP is getting 13 per cent vote share and Congress 7 per cent vote share.
BJP and SP are not getting much benefit
When the survey report came last month, farmers’ agitation was going on regarding agricultural laws. Now he has returned. At the same time, an alliance has been announced between the Samajwadi Party and the Rashtriya Lok Dal. But, it doesn’t seem to have much effect. The Bharatiya Janata Party still seems to be getting 40 per cent vote share. However, the scattered votes of BSP and Congress seem to be going in SP’s court. In the survey report last month, SP was seen getting 32 per cent votes, while this time its vote share has increased to 34 per cent. The SP has now come to a difference of only 6 per cent votes from the BJP, which was 8 per cent last month.
Not much change is visible regarding seats
In the November survey, the BJP was shown getting 213 to 221 seats. At the same time, the Samajwadi Party seemed to be winning from 152 to 160 seats. BSP was seen getting 16 to 20 seats and Congress 6 to 10 seats. The December survey showed the BJP winning 212 to 224 seats and the Samajwadi Party 151 to 163 seats. However, the performance of BSP and Congress has deteriorated since last month. BSP is now seen winning 12 to 24 seats and Congress 2 to 10 seats. At the same time, 2 to 6 seats are seen going in the account of others.
There is a possibility of a thorn in the western UP
According to the ABP C-Voter survey, there is a possibility of a tough competition in 136 assembly seats of Western UP region. However, here the BJP seems to be taking the lead right now. BJP seems to be getting 65 to 69 seats in this region. At the same time, 58 to 62 seats are seen going in the account of Samajwadi Party. BSP can get 5 to 9 seats, Congress 0 to 4 and others 0 to 2 seats.
Strong competition is expected in Purvanchal too
There is also a possibility of fierce competition in Purvanchal. There is a fight to capture 130 seats in this region and the BJP is still leading in this. However, this edge is very small. From Purvanchal itself, PM Narendra goes by choosing and it is considered to be the area of CM Yogi Adityanath. Here BJP is seen winning 61 to 65 seats. At the same time, 51 to 55 seats are seen going in SP’s account. BSP can get 4 to 8 seats, Congress 2 to 6 and others 2 to 6 seats.
Huge lead for BJP in Awadh region
The BJP is yet to see a tough fight in the Awadh region. The electoral battle is to be held on 118 seats in this region. Here the other parties will have to work hard. BJP seems to be getting victory in 72 to 76 seats in this area. At the same time, Samajwadi Party can win 38 to 42 seats in this region. The Bahujan Samaj Party is going to be disappointed in this area as well. The party can get 2 to 6 seats. At the same time, Congress can get 0 to 2 seats and others 0 to 2 seats.
BJP at the forefront in Bundelkhand
The BJP’s dominance in the Budelkhand region is once again visible. Recently, PM Narendra Modi had held a big public meeting in this area. Elections are to be held on 19 seats in this area. Out of this, 12 to 16 seats are visible in the account of BJP. At the same time, Samajwadi Party seems to be winning only 2 to 6 seats. Here BSP can win 0 to 3, Congress 0 to 2 and other 0 to 2 seats.
In the survey of ABP C-Voter, once again there is a possibility of tough competition in UP